Thursday, March 10, 2011

NBA Games: 3/10/11

Today there are only three games, all of which are close and all which are tough to pick. Today is not a good day to bet if you are afraid of losing. That being said, I am making my three picks that I am betting on (300$ on each pick- the amount of money I made off of betting on my picks yesterday), even though all three would be considered tentative on a day with good lines.


Lakers vs. Heat

On this pick, I am taking the heat at +2.5 and bumping it up to +5.5. I know they are in a slump, but they are going to come out on their home floor and be hungry for a win to prove critics wrong. Couple that with Lebron's demonstrated success against Kobe and the Lakers and the 16 point Christmas day victory, and you have the recipe for a close game. In this scenario, go with the points.


Mavs vs. Knicks

This is another go with the points scenario. Take the Knicks at +5.5, push it up to +8.5, and hope that Carmelo and the new-look Knicks will be able to defeat a Mavericks team that just suffered a 1 point loss to the CP3-less Hornets. They have been hot lately, and Carmelo has been good against the Mavs in the past, so look for a close game where the Knicks don't get blown off of the court.

Suns vs. Nuggets

This is the easiest pick to make of the day. Take the Nuggets at +3.5 and bump it up to +6.5. The Suns will likely be playing without Channing Frye against a deep Nuggets team that has been playing well, despite losing their 2 biggest stars. Both teams are fighting for the playoffs, and expect a tough game, and look for a Nuggets win or close loss.

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