Tuesday, March 1, 2011

NBA Games: 3/1/11

Today there are some very good NBA opportunities, and this post will break them down.

Warriors vs. Pacers

In this game, the Pacers are -250, and to be honest, I do not think they justify that high of odds. If you were going to bet on tis game, go with the Warriors at +6 and buy 3 points of insurance. The Warriors are trying to end their slump and I do not see one of the top scoring teams in the league losing to Indiana by double digits. That is my official prediction, but if you are going to go with a money line, pick the Warriors, as they provide a higher upside relative to the risk.

Knicks vs. Magic

Go with the Knicks at +7, and buy 3 points to make it +10. The Knicks are going to be looking for their second straight win off of a playoff team and will be more motivated than the Magic. Also, with their high powered offense, I do not see them losing by double digits.

Hornets vs. Raptors

Go with the Hornets on the money line at (-260). They are fresh off of a close loss to Houston and need to fight for a higher seed in the west. They are also reintegrating David West and Emeka Okafor into the lineup, and this second game should give them more comfort against a Toronto team that has lost 2 straight.

Mavericks vs. 76ers

My pick is the Mavericks on the money line at (-135). I think the 76ers are overrated in this game, while the Mavericks are riding a 6 game winning streak. I feel like this has the potential to be a close game, but the experience of the Mavericks will allow Dallas to leave with the win.

Lakers vs. Timberwolves

My pick is the Lakers on the money line at (-500). While I think that Minnesota has the ability to keep it close, the Lakers need this win more than they do and the clutch play of Kobe Bryant will prevail in the end. Although this is not a particularly high reward game, the risk is minimal.

Spurs vs. Grizzlies

I am not touching this game. This will be the Spurs first game this season without Tony Parker starting and I have yet to see how they play. My tentative pick is the Spurs at +1.5, because the experience of the other veterans will pull them through, but this Memphis team is fighting for their playoff lives right now and they are hot, so I would not bet this game.

Bucks vs. Pistons

Go with the Bucks at (-190). The Pistons are a team in disrepair as there has recently been a player mutiny and the starting lineup is in constant flux. Pair that with a Bucks team that is trying to claw its way into the 8th seed of the playoffs, and you have a Bucks victory.

Rockets vs. Blazers

I would take the Rockets at +5 and buy three points to make it +8. The Rockets are on a 4 game winning streak and have one of the highest scoring teams in the league against a Portland team that is riddled with minor injuries. Although I think Portland will likely win this game, expect the Rockets to keep the game close and not get blown out of the stadium.

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